Documents Library

TTRP21-04 Sensitivity Analysis on Sydney's Urban Structure and House Prices for the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report

This paper discusses two hypothetical scenarios to the Sydney housing market and total welfare.

The preliminary model outputs will be finalised and presented as part of the next NSW Intergenerational Report (IGR), to be released in 2021, and will support a broader discussion on the importance of effective planning regulations to sustainable growth. It will also provide the opportunity to explore some potential structural shifts resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and associated government and business responses.

TTRP21-02 Projecting Long Run Productivity Growth Rates for the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report

This paper evaluates the appropriateness of the current long run labour productivity growth assumption ahead of the next NSW Intergenerational Report (IGR), to be released in 2021. It examines methodologies used by other leading Treasuries and financial institutions for projecting productivity growth, and reviews trends and factors that may influence the future growth path. The proposed methodology and projections contained in this paper are preliminary and will be finalised for the 2021 IGR.

TTRP21-03 Ageing and health expenses in New South Wales – revisiting the long-term modelling approach

The 2016 NSW Intergenerational Report (IGR) projected health expenses to be the largest driver of long-run expense growth for NSW. It projected health expenses to grow from 28 per cent of total expenses by 2056 to 36 per cent - at a long-term annual growth rate of 6.0 per cent - in the absence of policy intervention.

This reflects the pressures of an ageing population, and non-demographic factors such as advancements in health technology and expectations for more and improved health services over the next 40 years.

TTRP21-01 Preliminary Fertility Rate Projections for the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report

This paper sets out reasons why the NSW long-run fertility rate is projected to decline from its 2019-20 level of 1.67 babies per woman to 1.63 by 2032. The paper recommends that the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report (IGR) utilise a constant long-run TFR assumption of 1.63 from 2032

TTRP20-01 Preliminary Participation Rate Projections for the 2021 NSW Intergenerational Report

In the lead-up to the 2021 IGR, Treasury is releasing a series of technical research papers to unpack the key drivers of long-term economic growth and the fiscal outlook. This is the first such paper, updating Treasury’s participation rate projections and modelling methodology to provide insight into a possible source of drag on future economic growth.

Regulating for NSW's Future

TRP17-01 Interstate Comparison of Taxes 2016-17

This Research and Information Paper, the Interstate Comparison of Taxes, is produced annually by NSW Treasury with the assistance of agencies in New South Wales and the other States and Territories. It provides a brief description of each tax as at 31 October 2016 to facilitate interstate comparisons.

TRP16-01 Interstate Comparison of Taxes 2015-16

Interstate Comparison of Taxes 2015-16

The Interstate Comparison of Taxes is a Research and Information Paper produced annually by the NSW Treasury with the assistance of agencies in New South Wales and the other States and Territories. It provides a brief description of each tax to facilitate interstate comparisons.

TRP14-01 Interstate Comparison of Taxes 2014-15

Interstate Comparison of Taxes 2014-15

The Interstate Comparison of Taxes is a Research and Information Paper produced annually by the NSW Treasury with the assistance of agencies in New South Wales and the other States and Territories. It provides a brief description of each tax to facilitate interstate comparisons.

TRP13-02 Interstate Comparison of Taxes 2013-14

Interstate Comparison of Taxes 2013-14

This Research and Information Paper, the Interstate Comparison of Taxes, is produced annually by the NSW Treasury with the assistance of agencies in New South Wales and the other States and Territories. It provides a brief description of each tax to facilitate interstate comparisons.